Match analytics

Elmer Moller vs Elias Ymer · Match odds & ELO prediction

ATP Australian Open • Hard • Jan 14, 2026 • 4:05 AM

Hard

Final score

1 - 2

Winner Elias Ymer

Key insights

Player performance profile

Elmer Moller

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

53%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~2,502 points across 15 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-5.21% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
2.197% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-2.826% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Insufficient data

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Elias Ymer

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

49%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~1,972 points across 13 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
0.340% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
-0.476% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-2.132% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Insufficient data

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Elmer Moller and Elias Ymer are set to meet at the ATP Australian Open on January 14, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Moller enters with a 0–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Ymer has posted a 0–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Ymer entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Ymer leads 2–0 over Moller, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Moller and Ymer have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.