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Match analytics

Ella McDonald vs Darja Semenistaja · Match odds & ELO prediction

Wimbledon • Grass • Jun 24, 2025 • 11:30 AM

Grass

Final score

1 - 2

Winner Darja Semenistaja

Key insights

Player performance profile

Ella McDonald

HARD

54% · 1916 on hard

CLAY

40% · 23 on clay

GRASS

50% · 33 on grass

Games won (last 10)

49%

8 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~0 points across 0 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
0.045% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
0.061% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
0.050% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Insufficient data

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Darja Semenistaja

HARDSmall sample

50% · 22 on hard

Games won (last 10)

41%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~1,863 points across 16 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-2.015% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
0.874% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-2.923% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Vulnerable
33%16% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Ella McDonald and Darja Semenistaja are set to meet at the Wimbledon on June 24, 2025 in a grass-court singles match. McDonald enters with a 3–3 record on grass courts in 2025, while Semenistaja has posted a 2–1 mark on grass courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Semenistaja entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Semenistaja leads 1–0 over McDonald, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with McDonald and Semenistaja alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.
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