Match analytics

Elise Mertens vs Nikola Bartunkova · Match odds & ELO prediction

WTA Australian Open • Hard • Jan 24, 2026 • 1:30 AM

Hard

Key insights

Player performance profile

Elise Mertens

HARDSmall sample

75% · 31 on hard

Games won (last 10)

52%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~7,757 points across 55 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
3.592% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-0.453% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-0.445% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
50%43% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Nikola Bartunkova

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

52%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~1,223 points across 9 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
1.264% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
1.081% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Elite
+8.694% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Insufficient data

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Elise Mertens and Nikola Bartunkova are set to meet at the WTA Australian Open on January 24, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Mertens enters with a 3–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Bartunkova has posted a 0–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Mertens entering this matchup. This will be the first meeting between Mertens and Bartunkova at the professional level.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Mertens and Bartunkova have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.