BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Elise Mertens vs Diana Shnaider · Match odds & ELO prediction

Stuttgart • Clay • Apr 16, 2025 • 8:00 PM

Clay

Final score

2 - 0

Winner Elise Mertens

Key insights

Player performance profile

Elise Mertens

HARDSmall sample

75% · 31 on hard

Games won (last 10)

60%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~8,620 points across 62 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
4.396% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-0.454% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-0.644% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
50%43% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Diana Shnaider

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

52%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~9,177 points across 61 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
1.770% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-1.040% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-0.744% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
41%30% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Elise Mertens and Diana Shnaider are set to meet at the Stuttgart on April 16, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Mertens enters with a 6–5 record on clay courts in 2025, while Shnaider has posted a 8–5 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Shnaider entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 2 wins.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Mertens and Shnaider alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.
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