Elise Mertens vs Barbora Krejcikova · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA United Cup • Hard • Jan 8, 2026 • 8:40 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Elise Mertens
Key insights
Player performance profile
Elise Mertens
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
58%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,217 points across 67 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,217 points across 67 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.1 | 95% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.3 | 58% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.6 | 44% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 43% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Barbora Krejcikova
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,778 points across 26 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,778 points across 26 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.9 | 75% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 47% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.8 | 85% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 80% | 95% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Elise Mertens and Barbora Krejcikova are set to meet at the WTA United Cup on January 8, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Mertens enters with a 3–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Krejcikova has posted a 2–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Mertens, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Mertens leads 1–0 over Krejcikova, including a win in their most recent meeting.