Elise Mertens vs Alexandra Eala · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 24, 2026 • 11:00 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Elise Mertens
Key insights
Player performance profile
Elise Mertens
65% · 11–6 on hard
50% · 2–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,628 points across 70 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,628 points across 70 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.4 | 96% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.3 | 59% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.2 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 42% | 28% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alexandra Eala
64% · 14–8 on hard
50% · 3–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,832 points across 48 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,832 points across 48 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.3 | 29% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.1 | 84% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +6.1 | 91% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 67% | 84% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Elise Mertens and Alexandra Eala are set to meet at the Madrid on April 24, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Mertens enters with a 2–2 record on clay courts in 2026, while Eala has posted a 3–3 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Eala entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Mertens leads 2–0 over Eala, including a win in their most recent meeting.