Elina Svitolina vs Sonay Kartal · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Auckland • Hard • Jan 9, 2026 • 5:15 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Elina Svitolina
Key insights
Player performance profile
Elina Svitolina
100% · 5–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
61%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,858 points across 56 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,858 points across 56 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.9 | 86% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.5 | 89% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.7 | 53% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 53% | 55% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Sonay Kartal
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
60%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,310 points across 44 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,310 points across 44 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.1 | 89% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.9 | 43% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.7 | 54% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 46% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Elina Svitolina and Sonay Kartal are set to meet at the WTA Auckland on January 9, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Svitolina enters with a 5–0 record on hard courts in 2026, while Kartal has posted a 2–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Svitolina, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Svitolina leads 2–0 over Kartal, including a win in their most recent meeting.