BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Elina Svitolina vs Nikola Bartunkova · Match odds & ELO prediction

Rome • Clay • May 11, 2026 • 1:40 PM

Clay

Final score

2 - 0

Winner Elina Svitolina

Key insights

Player performance profile

Elina Svitolina

HARD

100% · 50 on hard

Games won (last 10)

59%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~10,094 points across 72 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
2.989% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
1.083% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+2.872% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
57%63% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Nikola Bartunkova

HARD

67% · 126 on hard

CLAY

50% · 33 on clay

Games won (last 10)

49%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~2,555 points across 18 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
0.963% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-1.336% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+1.259% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Insufficient data

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Elina Svitolina and Nikola Bartunkova are set to meet at the Rome on May 11, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Svitolina enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Bartunkova has posted a 3–3 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Svitolina entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Svitolina leads 1–0 over Bartunkova, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Svitolina and Bartunkova have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.
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