BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Elina Svitolina vs Elena Rybakina · Match odds & ELO prediction

Rome • Clay • May 13, 2026 • 6:00 PM

Clay

Final score

2 - 1

Winner Elina Svitolina

Key insights

Player performance profile

Elina Svitolina

HARD

100% · 50 on hard

Games won (last 10)

59%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~10,094 points across 72 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
2.989% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
1.083% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+2.872% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
57%63% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Elena Rybakina

HARDSmall sample

67% · 21 on hard

Games won (last 10)

61%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~14,016 points across 96 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
7.4100% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-1.534% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+2.771% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
61%74% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Elina Svitolina and Elena Rybakina are set to meet at the Rome on May 13, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Svitolina enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Rybakina has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Rybakina, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Rybakina leads 4–3 over Svitolina.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Svitolina and Rybakina have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.
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