Elina Svitolina vs Diana Shnaider · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Australian Open • Hard • Jan 23, 2026 • 8:10 AM
Key insights
Player performance profile
Elina Svitolina
100% · 5–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
61%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,858 points across 56 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,858 points across 56 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.9 | 86% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.5 | 89% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.7 | 53% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 53% | 55% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Diana Shnaider
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,360 points across 56 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,360 points across 56 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.8 | 73% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.0 | 42% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.9 | 40% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 47% | 39% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Elina Svitolina and Diana Shnaider are set to meet at the WTA Australian Open on January 23, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Svitolina enters with a 5–0 record on hard courts in 2026, while Shnaider has posted a 1–1 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. This will be the first meeting between Svitolina and Shnaider at the professional level.