Match analytics

Elina Svitolina vs Danielle Collins · Match odds & ELO prediction

Rome • Clay • May 12, 2025 • 2:00 PM

Clay

Final score

2 - 0

Winner Elina Svitolina

Key insights

Player performance profile

Elina Svitolina

HARD

100% · 50 on hard

Games won (last 10)

61%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~7,858 points across 56 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
2.986% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
1.589% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+0.753% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
53%55% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Danielle Collins

HARD

43% · 68 on hard

CLAY

64% · 74 on clay

GRASSSmall sample

50% · 22 on grass

Games won (last 10)

48%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~3,971 points across 28 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
2.076% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-1.532% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+0.855% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
43%32% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Elina Svitolina and Danielle Collins are set to meet at the Rome on May 12, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Svitolina enters with a 16–3 record on clay courts in 2025, while Collins has posted a 7–4 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Svitolina entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 2 wins.

Recent singles form slightly favors Svitolina, who has won 5 of his last five matches, while Collins has gone 1–4 over the same span.