Elena Rybakina vs Paula Badosa · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Dubai • Hard • Feb 19, 2025 • 10:05 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Elena Rybakina
Key insights
Player performance profile
Elena Rybakina
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,339 points across 85 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,339 points across 85 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 7.5 | 100% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.3 | 35% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.2 | 69% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 59% | 71% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Paula Badosa
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,514 points across 29 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,514 points across 29 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.5 | 91% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.0 | 24% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.2 | 60% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 63% | 78% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Elena Rybakina and Paula Badosa are set to meet at the WTA Dubai on February 19, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Rybakina enters with a 42–13 record on hard courts in 2025, while Badosa has posted a 13–8 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Rybakina, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Rybakina leads 5–3 over Badosa, including a win in their most recent meeting.