Match analytics

Elena Rybakina vs Mirra Andreeva · Match odds & ELO prediction

Dubai • Hard • Feb 21, 2025 • 1:10 PM

Hard

Final score

1 - 2

Winner Mirra Andreeva

Key insights

Player performance profile

Elena Rybakina

HARDSmall sample

67% · 21 on hard

Games won (last 10)

58%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~11,252 points across 78 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
7.6100% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-1.236% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+1.663% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
58%67% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Mirra Andreeva

HARDSmall sample

67% · 21 on hard

Games won (last 10)

66%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~8,194 points across 59 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
3.490% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
1.081% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+2.268% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
50%51% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Elena Rybakina and Mirra Andreeva are set to meet at the Dubai on February 21, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Rybakina enters with a 42–13 record on hard courts in 2025, while Andreeva has posted a 24–9 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Rybakina, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Andreeva leads 3–1 over Rybakina, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Rybakina and Andreeva have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.