Elena Rybakina vs Madison Keys · Match odds & ELO prediction
Cincinnati • Hard • Aug 13, 2025 • 10:30 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Elena Rybakina
Key insights
Player performance profile
Elena Rybakina
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
61%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~14,206 points across 98 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~14,206 points across 98 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 7.4 | 100% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.3 | 34% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.6 | 69% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 59% | 69% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Madison Keys
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
61%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,531 points across 63 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,531 points across 63 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.2 | 91% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 59% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.4 | 86% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 75% | 93% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Elena Rybakina and Madison Keys are set to meet at the Cincinnati on August 13, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Rybakina enters with a 42–13 record on hard courts in 2025, while Keys has posted a 24–8 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Rybakina entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 3 wins.