Elena Rybakina vs Jelena Ostapenko · Match odds & ELO prediction
French Open • Clay • May 30, 2025 • 3:20 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Elena Rybakina
Key insights
Player performance profile
Elena Rybakina
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
59%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~13,358 points across 92 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~13,358 points across 92 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 7.6 | 100% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 33% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.0 | 66% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 59% | 70% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Jelena Ostapenko
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,495 points across 45 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,495 points across 45 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.1 | 29% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.6 | 74% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.4 | 25% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 44% | 32% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Elena Rybakina and Jelena Ostapenko are set to meet at the French Open on May 30, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Rybakina enters with a 9–3 record on clay courts in 2025, while Ostapenko has posted a 9–4 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Rybakina entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Rybakina leads 4–1 over Ostapenko, including a win in their most recent meeting.