Ekaterina Ovcharenko vs Jia-Jing Lu · Match odds & ELO prediction
Jinan • Hard • Oct 13, 2025 • 2:40 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Ekaterina Ovcharenko
Key insights
Player performance profile
Ekaterina Ovcharenko
33% · 7–14 on hard
44% · 7–9 on clay
Games won (last 10)
43%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~162 points across 1 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~162 points across 1 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.1 | 28% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.0 | 39% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.0 | 41% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Jia-Jing Lu
55% · 30–25 on hard
33% · 1–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
47%
6 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~193 points across 1 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~193 points across 1 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.3 | 50% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.2 | 65% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.4 | 21% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Ekaterina Ovcharenko and Jia-Jing Lu are set to meet at the Jinan on October 13, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Ovcharenko enters with a 7–14 record on hard courts in 2025, while Lu has posted a 30–25 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Lu entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Ovcharenko leads 1–0 over Lu, including a win in their most recent meeting.