Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Xinyu Wang · Match odds & ELO prediction
US Open • Hard • Aug 28, 2025 • 3:10 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Ekaterina Alexandrova
Key insights
Player performance profile
Ekaterina Alexandrova
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
43%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,450 points across 81 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,450 points across 81 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.3 | 91% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.4 | 70% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -6.3 | 7% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 17% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Xinyu Wang
58% · 11–8 on hard
57% · 4–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,277 points across 63 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,277 points across 63 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.6 | 71% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.9 | 13% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.3 | 45% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 55% | 57% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Ekaterina Alexandrova and Xinyu Wang are set to meet at the US Open on August 28, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Alexandrova enters with a 26–17 record on hard courts in 2025, while Wang has posted a 15–16 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Alexandrova, but the gap is not overwhelming. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 2 wins.