Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Laura Siegemund · Match odds & ELO prediction
US Open • Hard • Aug 30, 2025 • 9:00 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Ekaterina Alexandrova
Key insights
Player performance profile
Ekaterina Alexandrova
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,118 points across 78 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,118 points across 78 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.3 | 89% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.6 | 72% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.6 | 12% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 29% | 13% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Laura Siegemund
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
42%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,746 points across 46 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,746 points across 46 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.2 | 43% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 49% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.9 | 19% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 44% | 35% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Ekaterina Alexandrova and Laura Siegemund are set to meet at the US Open on August 30, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Alexandrova enters with a 26–17 record on hard courts in 2025, while Siegemund has posted a 15–14 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Alexandrova entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Alexandrova leads 2–1 over Siegemund, including a win in their most recent meeting.