Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Laura Siegemund · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rome • Clay • May 8, 2026 • 3:25 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Laura Siegemund
Key insights
Player performance profile
Ekaterina Alexandrova
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
43%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,450 points across 81 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,450 points across 81 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.3 | 91% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.4 | 72% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -6.3 | 9% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 17% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Laura Siegemund
33% · 3–6 on hard
50% · 2–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,814 points across 53 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,814 points across 53 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.2 | 43% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.5 | 52% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.1 | 15% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 36% | 20% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Ekaterina Alexandrova and Laura Siegemund are set to meet at the Rome on May 8, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Alexandrova enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Siegemund has posted a 2–2 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Alexandrova entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 2 wins.