Ekaterina Alexandrova vs L. Sun · Match odds & ELO prediction
Cincinnati • Hard • Aug 9, 2025 • 8:05 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Ekaterina Alexandrova
Key insights
Player performance profile
Ekaterina Alexandrova
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
42%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,345 points across 80 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,345 points across 80 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.2 | 91% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.3 | 70% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -6.2 | 10% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 29% | 13% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
L. Sun
23% · 3–10 on hard
38% · 3–5 on clay
40% · 2–3 on grass
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,786 points across 46 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,786 points across 46 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.9 | 100% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 0% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.6 | 67% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 33% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Ekaterina Alexandrova and L. Sun are set to meet at the Cincinnati on August 9, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Alexandrova enters with a 26–17 record on hard courts in 2025, while Sun has posted a 3–10 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Sun, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Alexandrova leads 2–1 over Sun, including a win in their most recent meeting.