Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Jelena Ostapenko · Match odds & ELO prediction
Stuttgart • Clay • Apr 20, 2025 • 11:10 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Jelena Ostapenko
Key insights
Player performance profile
Ekaterina Alexandrova
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,118 points across 78 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,118 points across 78 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.3 | 89% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.6 | 72% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.6 | 12% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 29% | 13% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Jelena Ostapenko
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,809 points across 40 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,809 points across 40 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.3 | 25% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.0 | 81% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.4 | 14% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 36% | 22% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Ekaterina Alexandrova and Jelena Ostapenko are set to meet at the Stuttgart on April 20, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Alexandrova enters with a 13–5 record on clay courts in 2025, while Ostapenko has posted a 9–4 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Alexandrova, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Ostapenko leads 5–2 over Alexandrova, including a win in their most recent meeting.