Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Iga Swiatek · Match odds & ELO prediction
US Open • Hard • Sep 1, 2025 • 5:10 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Iga Swiatek
Key insights
Player performance profile
Ekaterina Alexandrova
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
42%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,345 points across 80 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,345 points across 80 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.2 | 91% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.3 | 70% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -6.2 | 10% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 29% | 13% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Iga Swiatek
60% · 3–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
60%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,028 points across 88 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,028 points across 88 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.8 | 97% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.3 | 97% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.5 | 69% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 63% | 78% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Ekaterina Alexandrova and Iga Swiatek are set to meet at the US Open on September 1, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Alexandrova enters with a 26–17 record on hard courts in 2025, while Swiatek has posted a 41–12 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Swiatek entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Swiatek leads 6–2 over Alexandrova, including a win in their most recent meeting.