Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Iga Swiatek · Match odds & ELO prediction
Bad Homburg • Grass • Jun 26, 2025 • 11:30 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Iga Swiatek
Key insights
Player performance profile
Ekaterina Alexandrova
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,386 points across 74 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,386 points across 74 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.5 | 93% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.7 | 76% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.1 | 16% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 31% | 16% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Iga Swiatek
60% · 3–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,101 points across 81 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,101 points across 81 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.8 | 98% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.2 | 96% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.5 | 81% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 71% | 87% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Ekaterina Alexandrova and Iga Swiatek are set to meet at the Bad Homburg on June 26, 2025 in a grass-court singles match. Alexandrova enters with a 8–3 record on grass courts in 2025, while Swiatek has posted a 10–1 mark on grass courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Alexandrova entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Swiatek leads 6–2 over Alexandrova, including a win in their most recent meeting.