BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Dayana Yastremska · Match odds & ELO prediction

Linz • Hard • Feb 2, 2025 • 1:10 PM

Hard

Final score

2 - 1

Winner Ekaterina Alexandrova

Key insights

Player performance profile

Ekaterina Alexandrova

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

42%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~11,345 points across 80 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
3.291% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
0.370% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-6.210% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Vulnerable
29%13% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Dayana Yastremska

HARDSmall sample

67% · 21 on hard

Games won (last 10)

50%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~8,692 points across 58 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
0.655% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-0.454% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Strong
+5.687% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Strong
62%77% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Ekaterina Alexandrova and Dayana Yastremska are set to meet at the Linz on February 2, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Alexandrova enters with a 26–17 record on hard courts in 2025, while Yastremska has posted a 16–14 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Yastremska entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Alexandrova leads 4–0 over Yastremska, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Alexandrova and Yastremska alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.
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