Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Belinda Bencic · Match odds & ELO prediction
Bad Homburg • Grass • Jun 23, 2025 • 9:35 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Ekaterina Alexandrova
Key insights
Player performance profile
Ekaterina Alexandrova
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
43%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,450 points across 81 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,450 points across 81 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.3 | 91% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.4 | 70% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -6.3 | 7% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 17% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Belinda Bencic
75% · 12–4 on hard
67% · 4–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
58%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,007 points across 70 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,007 points across 70 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.9 | 88% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.3 | 70% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +6.9 | 94% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 76% | 94% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Ekaterina Alexandrova and Belinda Bencic are set to meet at the Bad Homburg on June 23, 2025 in a grass-court singles match. Alexandrova enters with a 8–3 record on grass courts in 2025, while Bencic has posted a 5–2 mark on grass courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Bencic leads 4–2 over Alexandrova, including a win in their most recent meeting.