Eero Vasa vs Matteo Covato · Match odds & ELO prediction
Kigali 2 • Clay • Mar 9, 2026 • 8:10 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Eero Vasa
Key insights
Player performance profile
Eero Vasa
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~265 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~265 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.7 | 7% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.1 | 47% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.3 | 59% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Matteo Covato
8% · 1–12 on hard
50% · 16–16 on clay
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Match Overview
Eero Vasa and Matteo Covato are set to meet at the Kigali 2 on March 9, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Vasa enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Covato has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Vasa entering this matchup. This will be the first meeting between Vasa and Covato at the professional level.