Edas Butvilas vs Matteo Gigante · Match odds & ELO prediction
St. Tropez • Hard • Sep 16, 2025 • 11:35 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Edas Butvilas
Key insights
Player performance profile
Edas Butvilas
59% · 29–20 on hard
17% · 2–10 on clay
0% · 0–2 on grass
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~455 points across 4 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~455 points across 4 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.6 | 15% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.6 | 55% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.7 | 63% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Matteo Gigante
45% · 10–12 on hard
65% · 15–8 on clay
50% · 2–2 on grass
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,509 points across 23 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,509 points across 23 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.5 | 29% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.3 | 94% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.5 | 35% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 16% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Edas Butvilas and Matteo Gigante are set to meet at the St. Tropez on September 16, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Butvilas enters with a 29–20 record on hard courts in 2025, while Gigante has posted a 10–12 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.