Edas Butvilas vs Josef Schwaerzler Joel · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 7, 2026 • 1:50 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Josef Schwaerzler Joel
Key insights
Player performance profile
Edas Butvilas
59% · 29–20 on hard
17% · 2–10 on clay
0% · 0–2 on grass
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~593 points across 7 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~593 points across 7 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.7 | 52% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.3 | 41% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.9 | 86% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Josef Schwaerzler Joel
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~460 points across 3 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~460 points across 3 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 25% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.8 | 50% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.4 | 76% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Edas Butvilas and Josef Schwaerzler Joel are set to meet at the Madrid on April 7, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Butvilas enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Joel has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Joel entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Joel leads 1–0 over Butvilas, including a win in their most recent meeting.