Donna Vekic vs Aliona Falei · Match odds & ELO prediction
Istanbul (Turkey) - Qualification • Clay • May 4, 2026 • 9:10 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Donna Vekic
Key insights
Player performance profile
Donna Vekic
47% · 7–8 on hard
73% · 8–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,434 points across 47 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,434 points across 47 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 35% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.0 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +8.6 | 96% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 71% | 88% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Aliona Falei
83% · 20–4 on hard
0% · 0–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
43%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~704 points across 4 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~704 points across 4 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.7 | 20% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.3 | 72% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.9 | 16% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Donna Vekic and Aliona Falei are set to meet at the Istanbul (Turkey) - Qualification on May 4, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Vekic enters with a 8–3 record on clay courts in 2026, while Falei has posted a 0–2 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Vekic, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Vekic leads 1–0 over Falei, including a win in their most recent meeting.