Diana Shnaider vs Leylah Fernandez · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Adelaide • Hard • Jan 13, 2026 • 12:35 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Diana Shnaider
Key insights
Player performance profile
Diana Shnaider
53% · 8–7 on hard
57% · 4–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,387 points across 69 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,387 points across 69 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.8 | 74% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.9 | 42% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.2 | 58% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 50% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Leylah Fernandez
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,487 points across 66 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,487 points across 66 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.0 | 89% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.3 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.7 | 53% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 53% | 53% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Diana Shnaider and Leylah Fernandez are set to meet at the WTA Adelaide on January 13, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Shnaider enters with a 8–7 record on hard courts in 2026, while Fernandez has posted a 0–1 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Shnaider leads 3–2 over Fernandez, including a win in their most recent meeting.