Match analytics

Denis Shapovalov vs Arthur Rinderknech · Match odds & ELO prediction

Stuttgart • Clay • Jun 10, 2025 • 9:10 AM

Clay

Final score

1 - 2

Winner Arthur Rinderknech

Key insights

Player performance profile

Denis Shapovalov

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

46%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~7,294 points across 46 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-0.332% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
0.181% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Strong
+5.286% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Strong
63%78% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Arthur Rinderknech

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

52%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~10,290 points across 63 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
2.782% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-6.03% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-1.139% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
40%25% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Denis Shapovalov and Arthur Rinderknech are set to meet at the Stuttgart on June 10, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Shapovalov enters with a 2–5 record on clay courts in 2025, while Rinderknech has posted a 8–10 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 2 wins.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Shapovalov and Rinderknech alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.