Dayana Yastremska vs Shuai Zhang · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Indian Wells • Hard • Mar 5, 2026 • 5:10 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Dayana Yastremska
Key insights
Player performance profile
Dayana Yastremska
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,692 points across 58 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,692 points across 58 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.6 | 55% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.4 | 54% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.6 | 87% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 62% | 77% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Shuai Zhang
60% · 3–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
43%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,834 points across 45 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,834 points across 45 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.8 | 60% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.2 | 67% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.2 | 68% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 60% | 72% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Dayana Yastremska and Shuai Zhang are set to meet at the WTA Indian Wells on March 5, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Yastremska enters with a 2–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Zhang has posted a 3–2 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 2 wins.