Dayana Yastremska vs Belinda Bencic · Match odds & ELO prediction
Miami • Hard • Mar 19, 2025 • 9:35 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Belinda Bencic
Key insights
Player performance profile
Dayana Yastremska
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
43%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,738 points across 51 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,738 points across 51 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.7 | 56% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.4 | 54% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.5 | 80% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 58% | 66% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Belinda Bencic
100% · 5–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
62%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,950 points across 55 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,950 points across 55 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.7 | 85% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.3 | 66% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +9.1 | 96% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 86% | 96% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Dayana Yastremska and Belinda Bencic are set to meet at the Miami on March 19, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Yastremska enters with a 16–14 record on hard courts in 2025, while Bencic has posted a 31–12 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Bencic entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Bencic leads 2–1 over Yastremska, including a win in their most recent meeting.