BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Dayana Yastremska vs Belinda Bencic · Match odds & ELO prediction

Miami • Hard • Mar 19, 2025 • 9:35 PM

Hard

Final score

1 - 2

Winner Belinda Bencic

Key insights

Player performance profile

Dayana Yastremska

HARDSmall sample

67% · 21 on hard

Games won (last 10)

50%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~8,692 points across 58 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
0.655% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-0.454% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Strong
+5.687% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Strong
62%77% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Belinda Bencic

HARD

100% · 50 on hard

Games won (last 10)

56%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~9,135 points across 64 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
2.785% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
0.675% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Elite
+7.993% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Elite
76%92% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Dayana Yastremska and Belinda Bencic are set to meet at the Miami on March 19, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Yastremska enters with a 16–14 record on hard courts in 2025, while Bencic has posted a 31–12 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Bencic entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Bencic leads 3–1 over Yastremska, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Yastremska and Bencic alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.
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