Davide Pontoglio vs Rafael De Alba · Match odds & ELO prediction
M15 Lima 2 • Clay • Dec 10, 2025 • 4:00 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Davide Pontoglio
Key insights
Player performance profile
Davide Pontoglio
67% · 2–1 on hard
33% · 2–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
49%
9 matches tracked
Rafael De Alba
37% · 7–12 on hard
36% · 4–7 on clay
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 1 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 1 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 37% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 81% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | 0.0 | 48% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Davide Pontoglio and Rafael De Alba are set to meet at the M15 Lima 2 on December 10, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Pontoglio enters with a 2–4 record on clay courts in 2025, while Alba has posted a 4–7 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Pontoglio leads 1–0 over Alba, including a win in their most recent meeting.