David Goffin vs Emilio Nava · Match odds & ELO prediction
Monte Carlo • Clay • Apr 5, 2026 • 9:05 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Emilio Nava
Key insights
Player performance profile
David Goffin
36% · 12–21 on hard
50% · 4–4 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
44%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,188 points across 40 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,188 points across 40 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.5 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.3 | 80% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.3 | 27% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 60% | 74% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Emilio Nava
40% · 4–6 on hard
50% · 10–10 on clay
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,559 points across 33 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,559 points across 33 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.7 | 52% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.7 | 16% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.5 | 88% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 57% | 66% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
David Goffin and Emilio Nava are set to meet at the Monte Carlo on April 5, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Goffin enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Nava has posted a 10–10 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Nava entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Nava leads 2–0 over Goffin, including a win in their most recent meeting.