BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Darja Semenistaja vs Francesca Curmi · Match odds & ELO prediction

W100 Lisboa • Clay • Sep 25, 2025 • 10:10 AM

Clay

Final score

2 - 0

Winner Darja Semenistaja

Key insights

Player performance profile

Darja Semenistaja

HARDSmall sample

50% · 22 on hard

Games won (last 10)

41%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~1,863 points across 16 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-2.015% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
0.874% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-2.923% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Vulnerable
33%16% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Francesca Curmi

HARD

61% · 1711 on hard

CLAY

62% · 138 on clay

Games won (last 10)

52%

9 matches tracked

Match Overview

Darja Semenistaja and Francesca Curmi are set to meet at the W100 Lisboa on September 25, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Semenistaja enters with a 36–19 record on clay courts in 2025, while Curmi has posted a 13–8 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Semenistaja entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Semenistaja leads 2–0 over Curmi, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Semenistaja and Curmi alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.
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