Daria Kasatkina vs Tamara Korpatsch · Match odds & ELO prediction
La Bisbal D'Emporda • Clay • May 3, 2026 • 9:10 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Daria Kasatkina
Key insights
Player performance profile
Daria Kasatkina
44% · 4–5 on hard
71% · 5–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
62%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,149 points across 49 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,149 points across 49 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.2 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.0 | 97% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.5 | 45% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 55% | 57% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Tamara Korpatsch
54% · 7–6 on hard
69% · 11–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,235 points across 28 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,235 points across 28 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.0 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.2 | 94% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -6.0 | 10% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 14% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Daria Kasatkina and Tamara Korpatsch are set to meet at the La Bisbal D'Emporda on May 3, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Kasatkina enters with a 5–2 record on clay courts in 2026, while Korpatsch has posted a 11–5 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Kasatkina leads 1–0 over Korpatsch, including a win in their most recent meeting.