Daria Kasatkina vs Sofia Kenin · Match odds & ELO prediction
Indian Wells • Hard • Mar 8, 2025 • 11:05 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Daria Kasatkina
Key insights
Player performance profile
Daria Kasatkina
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,184 points across 43 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,184 points across 43 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.9 | 9% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.9 | 96% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.7 | 52% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 53% | 54% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Sofia Kenin
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
43%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,018 points across 56 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,018 points across 56 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.1 | 78% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.4 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.1 | 67% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 53% | 55% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Daria Kasatkina and Sofia Kenin are set to meet at the Indian Wells on March 8, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Kasatkina enters with a 12–13 record on hard courts in 2025, while Kenin has posted a 19–18 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Kasatkina entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Kasatkina leads 3–2 over Kenin.