Match analytics

Daria Kasatkina vs Sofia Kenin · Match odds & ELO prediction

Charleston • Clay • Apr 3, 2025 • 11:45 PM

Clay

Final score

0 - 2

Winner Sofia Kenin

Key insights

Player performance profile

Daria Kasatkina

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

48%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~6,184 points across 43 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-2.99% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
2.996% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+0.752% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
53%54% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Sofia Kenin

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

43%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~8,018 points across 56 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
2.178% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-3.48% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+2.167% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
53%55% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Daria Kasatkina and Sofia Kenin are set to meet at the Charleston on April 3, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Kasatkina enters with a 5–5 record on clay courts in 2025, while Kenin has posted a 9–5 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Kenin entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Kasatkina leads 3–2 over Kenin.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Kasatkina and Kenin alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.