Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa · Match odds & ELO prediction
French Open • Clay • May 31, 2025 • 9:10 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Daria Kasatkina
Key insights
Player performance profile
Daria Kasatkina
44% · 4–5 on hard
71% · 5–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,499 points across 51 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,499 points across 51 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.2 | 7% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.1 | 96% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.6 | 52% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 52% | 53% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Paula Badosa
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,387 points across 35 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,387 points across 35 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.6 | 84% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.2 | 24% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.5 | 50% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 56% | 59% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Daria Kasatkina and Paula Badosa are set to meet at the French Open on May 31, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Kasatkina enters with a 5–5 record on clay courts in 2025, while Badosa has posted a 3–2 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Kasatkina entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 3 wins.