Daria Kasatkina vs Liudmila Samsonova · Match odds & ELO prediction
Wimbledon • Grass • Jul 5, 2025 • 10:05 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Liudmila Samsonova
Key insights
Player performance profile
Daria Kasatkina
44% · 4–5 on hard
71% · 5–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
62%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,149 points across 49 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,149 points across 49 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.2 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.0 | 97% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.5 | 45% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 55% | 57% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Liudmila Samsonova
33% · 4–8 on hard
50% · 2–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,005 points across 63 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,005 points across 63 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.7 | 85% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.4 | 21% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.9 | 64% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 53% | 53% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Daria Kasatkina and Liudmila Samsonova are set to meet at the Wimbledon on July 5, 2025 in a grass-court singles match. Kasatkina enters with a 2–4 record on grass courts in 2025, while Samsonova has posted a 7–3 mark on grass courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Samsonova entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Samsonova leads 2–1 over Kasatkina.