Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas · Match odds & ELO prediction
Doha • Hard • Feb 18, 2026 • 1:05 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Stefanos Tsitsipas
Key insights
Player performance profile
Daniil Medvedev
100% · 5–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,126 points across 74 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,126 points across 74 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.6 | 78% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.5 | 95% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.7 | 12% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 52% | 54% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Stefanos Tsitsipas
100% · 3–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,999 points across 52 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,999 points across 52 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.6 | 89% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.1 | 45% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.4 | 34% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 58% | 69% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Daniil Medvedev and Stefanos Tsitsipas are set to meet at the Doha on February 18, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Medvedev enters with a 5–0 record on hard courts in 2026, while Tsitsipas has posted a 3–0 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Tsitsipas entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Medvedev leads 5–3 over Tsitsipas.