Daniil Medvedev vs Jan-Lennard Struff · Match odds & ELO prediction
Marseille • Hard • Feb 14, 2025 • 5:05 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Daniil Medvedev
Key insights
Player performance profile
Daniil Medvedev
100% · 5–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
59%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,032 points across 62 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,032 points across 62 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.6 | 79% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.6 | 95% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.3 | 12% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 54% | 60% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Jan-Lennard Struff
60% · 3–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,670 points across 46 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,670 points across 46 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.7 | 67% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.9 | 27% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.6 | 21% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 49% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Daniil Medvedev and Jan-Lennard Struff are set to meet at the Marseille on February 14, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Medvedev enters with a 30–16 record on hard courts in 2025, while Struff has posted a 18–17 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Struff entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Medvedev leads 5–2 over Struff, including a win in their most recent meeting.