Daniil Medvedev vs Jan-Lennard Struff · Match odds & ELO prediction
Marseille • Hard • Feb 14, 2025 • 5:05 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Daniil Medvedev
Key insights
Player performance profile
Daniil Medvedev
100% · 5–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,650 points across 78 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,650 points across 78 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.3 | 74% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.6 | 96% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.2 | 15% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 54% | 58% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Jan-Lennard Struff
36% · 5–9 on hard
33% · 1–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
44%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,961 points across 55 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,961 points across 55 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.5 | 63% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.6 | 35% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.1 | 16% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 48% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Daniil Medvedev and Jan-Lennard Struff are set to meet at the Marseille on February 14, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Medvedev enters with a 30–16 record on hard courts in 2025, while Struff has posted a 18–17 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Medvedev entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Medvedev leads 5–2 over Struff, including a win in their most recent meeting.