Daniil Medvedev vs Cameron Norrie · Match odds & ELO prediction
French Open • Clay • May 27, 2025 • 9:10 AM
Final score
2 - 3
Winner Cameron Norrie
Key insights
Player performance profile
Daniil Medvedev
100% · 5–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
59%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,032 points across 62 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,032 points across 62 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.6 | 79% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.6 | 95% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.3 | 12% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 54% | 60% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Cameron Norrie
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,858 points across 69 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,858 points across 69 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.4 | 60% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.0 | 46% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.9 | 74% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 55% | 61% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Daniil Medvedev and Cameron Norrie are set to meet at the French Open on May 27, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Medvedev enters with a 6–4 record on clay courts in 2025, while Norrie has posted a 14–7 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Medvedev, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Medvedev leads 5–1 over Norrie, including a win in their most recent meeting.