Daniil Medvedev vs Adrian Mannarino · Match odds & ELO prediction
Hertogenbosch • Grass • Jun 12, 2025 • 3:10 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Daniil Medvedev
Key insights
Player performance profile
Daniil Medvedev
100% · 5–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,126 points across 74 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,126 points across 74 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.6 | 78% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.5 | 95% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.7 | 12% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 52% | 54% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Adrian Mannarino
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
44%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,215 points across 56 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,215 points across 56 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.3 | 40% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 76% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.7 | 18% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 13% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Daniil Medvedev and Adrian Mannarino are set to meet at the Hertogenbosch on June 12, 2025 in a grass-court singles match. Medvedev enters with a 5–3 record on grass courts in 2025, while Mannarino has posted a 14–6 mark on grass courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Mannarino entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Medvedev leads 4–1 over Mannarino, including a win in their most recent meeting.