Match analytics

Danielle Collins vs Elina Svitolina · Match odds & ELO prediction

Indian Wells • Hard • Mar 9, 2025 • 10:15 PM

Hard

Final score

0 - 2

Winner Elina Svitolina

Key insights

Player performance profile

Danielle Collins

HARD

43% · 68 on hard

CLAY

64% · 74 on clay

GRASSSmall sample

50% · 22 on grass

Games won (last 10)

48%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~3,971 points across 28 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
2.076% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-1.532% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+0.855% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
43%32% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Elina Svitolina

HARD

100% · 50 on hard

Games won (last 10)

61%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~7,858 points across 56 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
2.986% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
1.589% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+0.753% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
53%55% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Danielle Collins and Elina Svitolina are set to meet at the Indian Wells on March 9, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Collins enters with a 6–8 record on hard courts in 2025, while Svitolina has posted a 14–9 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Svitolina, but the gap is not overwhelming. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 2 wins.

Recent singles form slightly favors Svitolina, who has won 5 of his last five matches, while Collins has gone 1–4 over the same span.