Daniel Rincon vs Mees Rottgering · Match odds & ELO prediction
Tenerife 2 • Hard • Feb 11, 2025 • 10:05 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Daniel Rincon
Key insights
Player performance profile
Daniel Rincon
40% · 4–6 on hard
64% · 9–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~380 points across 3 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~380 points across 3 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.3 | 88% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.7 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Mees Rottgering
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
64%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~204 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~204 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 18% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.6 | 89% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.5 | 26% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Daniel Rincon and Mees Rottgering are set to meet at the Tenerife 2 on February 11, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Rincon enters with a 17–6 record on hard courts in 2025, while Rottgering has posted a 12–14 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Rincon, but the gap is not overwhelming. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.