BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Daniel Michalski vs Marco Cecchinato · Match odds & ELO prediction

Kigali 2 • Clay • Mar 6, 2025 • 8:05 AM

Clay

Final score

0 - 2

Winner Marco Cecchinato

Key insights

Player performance profile

Daniel Michalski

HARD

63% · 53 on hard

CLAY

64% · 4727 on clay

Games won (last 10)

47%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~0 points across 0 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
0.038% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
0.084% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
0.048% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Insufficient data

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Marco Cecchinato

CLAY

53% · 3934 on clay

Games won (last 10)

52%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~360 points across 2 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-3.53% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-1.850% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Strong
+4.081% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Insufficient data

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Daniel Michalski and Marco Cecchinato are set to meet at the Kigali 2 on March 6, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Michalski enters with a 47–27 record on clay courts in 2025, while Cecchinato has posted a 39–34 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Cecchinato, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Cecchinato leads 3–0 over Michalski, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Michalski and Cecchinato alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.
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