Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Oliver Crawford · Match odds & ELO prediction
M25 Sabadell • Clay • May 4, 2025 • 9:40 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Daniel Merida Aguilar
Key insights
Player performance profile
Daniel Merida Aguilar
63% · 15–9 on hard
69% · 35–16 on clay
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~708 points across 5 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~708 points across 5 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.2 | 6% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.8 | 49% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.4 | 68% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Oliver Crawford
73% · 51–19 on hard
69% · 9–4 on clay
58% · 7–5 on grass
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~830 points across 4 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~830 points across 4 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 35% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.2 | 10% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.9 | 32% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Daniel Merida Aguilar and Oliver Crawford are set to meet at the M25 Sabadell on May 4, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Aguilar enters with a 35–16 record on clay courts in 2025, while Crawford has posted a 9–4 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Aguilar, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Aguilar leads 3–0 over Crawford, including a win in their most recent meeting.