Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Nicolas Alvarez Varona · Match odds & ELO prediction
Tenerife • Hard • Feb 3, 2025 • 10:10 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Nicolas Alvarez Varona
Key insights
Player performance profile
Daniel Merida Aguilar
63% · 15–9 on hard
69% · 35–16 on clay
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~708 points across 5 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~708 points across 5 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.2 | 6% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.8 | 49% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.4 | 68% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Nicolas Alvarez Varona
65% · 13–7 on hard
50% · 17–17 on clay
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Match Overview
Daniel Merida Aguilar and Nicolas Alvarez Varona are set to meet at the Tenerife on February 3, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Aguilar enters with a 15–9 record on hard courts in 2025, while Varona has posted a 13–7 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Varona leads 3–2 over Aguilar, including a win in their most recent meeting.